Basye, VA 22810 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 47
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Home Value
$355,091
+1.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
47
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
57 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
34%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
45%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$206
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 45% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 53% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+87% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (47/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.7% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 34% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $83k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,135 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $206 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.3%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Shenandoah County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasburg, VA 22657 | $347.7K | +1.7% | 42 |
| Woodstock, VA 22664 | $342.9K | +1.7% | 62 |
| Edinburg, VA 22824 | $343.5K | +2.5% | 41 |
| Mount Jackson, VA 22842 | $320.9K | +3.1% | 49 |
| New Market, VA 22844 | $335.5K | +2.5% | 36 |
| Maurertown, VA 22644 | $363.5K | +3.6% | 55 |
| Fort Valley, VA 22652 | $418.3K | +4.6% | 2 |
| Toms Brook, VA 22660 | $356.4K | +3.6% | 41 |
| Quicksburg, VA 22847 | $370.1K | +6.4% | 10 |
| Strasburg, VA 22641 | $423.8K | +3.2% | 19 |
| Orkney Springs, VA 22845 | – | – | 13 |