Capron, VA 23829 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 38
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Home Value
$238,093
+0.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
38
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.1 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
48 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
77.5%
Jul 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
20%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
16%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$124
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 16% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 63% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+100% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (38/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 22.5% below their final list price (as of Jul 2026); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 20% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $61k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,583 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $124 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.1% to +9.2% (80% range; middle estimate +2.2%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Southampton County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin, VA 23851 | $250.3K | +1.6% | 45 |
| Courtland, VA 23837 | $293.6K | +2.4% | 71 |
| Ivor, VA 23866 | $306.5K | +3.9% | 4 |
| Sedley, VA 23878 | $281.4K | +1.8% | 71 |
| Boykins, VA 23827 | $173.6K | −5.4% | 17 |
| Newsoms, VA 23874 | $222.4K | −0.9% | 18 |
| Branchville, VA 23828 | $185.8K | +0.8% | 30 |
| Drewryville, VA 23844 | $226.2K | +1.6% | 3 |