Isle of Wight County, VA housing market

What this means

• Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+5% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
• Prices. Home values are up 2.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
• Supply. Listings are 29% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+31% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (33/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.2% of list); 26% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $94k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,583 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $216/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $99 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
• Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

No clear direction

A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.1% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.4%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

ZIP codes in Isle of Wight County, VA