Marion, VA 24354 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 74
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Home Value
$165,254
+3.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
74
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
69 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
28%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
47%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$103
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 47% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 19% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−12% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (74/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.9% below their final list price; 28% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $41k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,018 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $103 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +13% over the next 12 months (83% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.1% to +13.2% (80% range; middle estimate +6.2%), chance of a rise 83%, of a 5%+ drop 6%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Smyth County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chilhowie, VA 24319 | $195.3K | +4.1% | 82 |
| Saltville, VA 24370 | $123.4K | +4.2% | 77 |
| Sugar Grove, VA 24375 | $147.3K | +10.2% | 82 |
| Atkins, VA 24311 | $157.4K | +6.2% | 9 |