Raphine, VA 24472 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 76
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Home Value
$380,559
+6.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
76
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
95 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
33%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
52%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
42%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$150
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 42% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 34% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−15% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (76/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.2% below their final list price; 33% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 52% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $90k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,047 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $150 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (77% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.6% to +11.7% (80% range; middle estimate +4.7%), chance of a rise 77%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Rockbridge County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington, VA 24450 | $366.8K | +3.9% | 24 |
| Buena Vista, VA 24416 | $201.7K | +3.9% | 56 |
| Glasgow, VA 24555 | $217.7K | +4.2% | 13 |
| Fairfield, VA 24435 | $370.1K | +5.4% | 25 |
| Goshen, VA 24439 | $219K | +4.6% | 11 |
| Natural Bridge Station, VA 24579 | $206K | +10.0% | 47 |
| Rockbridge Baths, VA 24473 | $396.6K | +3.1% | 21 |
| Vesuvius, VA 24483 | $311.9K | +5.1% | 71 |
| Natural Bridge, VA 24578 | $334.1K | +6.2% | 13 |
| ZIP 24415 | – | – | 1 |