Garner, NC 27529 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 45
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Home Value
$382,769
−1.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
45
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
47 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
30%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
32%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,854/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
37%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$92
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 37% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 1.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 5% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 2% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−17% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (45/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.7% below their final list price; 30% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 32% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $92k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,502 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $450/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $92 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −6.8% to +9.5% (80% range; middle estimate +2.4%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Wake County, NC
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest, NC 27587 | $508.3K | −0.8% | 52 |
| Raleigh, NC 27610 | $313.3K | −2.5% | 87 |
| Cary, NC 27519 | $695.3K | −2.2% | 31 |
| Raleigh, NC 27616 | $350.7K | −3.4% | 73 |
| Raleigh, NC 27603 | $410.8K | −2.1% | 70 |
| Apex, NC 27502 | $563K | −1.8% | 38 |
| Holly Springs, NC 27540 | $577.1K | −0.8% | 32 |
| Cary, NC 27513 | $556.7K | −0.8% | 35 |
| Raleigh, NC 27615 | $540.3K | +0.2% | 64 |
| Raleigh, NC 27606 | $437.4K | −1.4% | 73 |
| Raleigh, NC 27613 | $590.7K | +0.4% | 37 |
| Raleigh, NC 27604 | $337.6K | −2.8% | 75 |
| Raleigh, NC 27612 | $572.8K | +1.3% | 49 |
| Morrisville, NC 27560 | $492.8K | −4.5% | 69 |
| Raleigh, NC 27609 | $552.8K | +1.8% | 61 |
| Raleigh, NC 27614 | $678K | +0.2% | 38 |
| Knightdale, NC 27545 | $364.4K | −2.0% | 44 |
| Cary, NC 27511 | $496.1K | −1.4% | 46 |
| Zebulon, NC 27597 | $340.6K | −0.4% | 79 |
| Wendell, NC 27591 | $367.3K | −1.2% | 51 |
| Raleigh, NC 27607 | $717.3K | +1.0% | 76 |
| Apex, NC 27539 | $602.8K | −0.6% | 37 |
| Willow Spring, NC 27592 | $411.3K | −0.2% | 34 |
| Raleigh, NC 27617 | $434.9K | −3.1% | 57 |
| Cary, NC 27518 | $734.6K | +0.9% | 17 |
| Raleigh, NC 27608 | $1M | +2.6% | 58 |
| Raleigh, NC 27601 | $497.3K | −2.0% | 97 |
| Rolesville, NC 27571 | $496.8K | −1.6% | 61 |
| Raleigh, NC 27605 | $404.2K | −2.9% | 90 |
| ZIP 27695 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 27697 | – | – | – |