Fayetteville, NC 28306 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 39
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Home Value
$273,695
+0.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
39
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
71 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,750/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
30%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$115
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 30% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 38% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (39/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.1% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $69k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,733 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $115 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.3% to +9.0% (80% range; middle estimate +2.0%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Cumberland County, NC
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fayetteville, NC 28314 | $226.5K | +0.5% | 48 |
| Hope Mills, NC 28348 | $264.8K | +0.7% | 34 |
| Fayetteville, NC 28304 | $197.6K | −0.9% | 60 |
| Fayetteville, NC 28311 | $239.7K | +0.7% | 46 |
| Fayetteville, NC 28303 | $208.6K | +0.4% | 67 |
| Fayetteville, NC 28312 | $298.5K | +2.3% | 48 |
| Fayetteville, NC 28301 | $145.5K | −0.9% | 70 |
| ZIP 28307 | – | – | – |
| Fort Bragg, NC 28310 | – | – | 13 |
| Linden, NC 28356 | $312.4K | +2.2% | 48 |
| Stedman, NC 28391 | $277.9K | +3.0% | 30 |
| Fayetteville, NC 28305 | $254K | +0.7% | 69 |
| Wade, NC 28395 | $298.8K | +5.6% | 70 |
| Pope Army Airfield, NC 28308 | – | – | 71 |
| ZIP 28342 | – | – | 80 |
| ZIP 28331 | – | – | – |