Middleburg, FL 32068 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 80
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Home Value
$327,605
−0.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
80
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
68 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
34%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
29%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,997/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
36%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$157
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 36% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 0.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 6% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 32% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−6% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (80/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.4% below their final list price; 34% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 29% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $82k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,160 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $157 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.2% to +9.1% (80% range; middle estimate +2.0%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Clay County, FL
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orange Park, FL 32073 | $299.2K | −0.6% | 66 |
| Orange Park, FL 32065 | $326K | −1.1% | 57 |
| Green Cove Springs, FL 32043 | $344.7K | −0.7% | 82 |
| Fleming Island, FL 32003 | $444.3K | −0.2% | 37 |
| Keystone Heights, FL 32656 | $286.3K | +3.2% | 90 |
| ZIP 32079 | – | – | 16 |