Gotha, FL 34734 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 57
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Home Value
$503,795
+0.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
57
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
68 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
49%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
54%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$106
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 54% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 18% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+17% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (57/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.0% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 49% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $128k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,901 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $106 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (63% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.3% to +9.0% (80% range; middle estimate +1.9%), chance of a rise 63%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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