Mobile, AL 36617 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 70
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Home Value
$61,054
+4.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
70
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
60 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
23%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
16%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-11%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$308
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 11% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 4.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 7% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−9% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (70/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.0% below their final list price; 23% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 16% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $21k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,262 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $308 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (77% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.6% to +11.8% (80% range; middle estimate +4.7%), chance of a rise 77%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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