Mobile, AL 36618 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 31
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$172,745
−2.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
31
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
46 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
22%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
32%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$281
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 32% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 39% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−27% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (31/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.7% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 22% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $46k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,267 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $281 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (71% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.9% to +10.4% (80% range; middle estimate +3.3%), chance of a rise 71%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Mobile, AL 36618
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.