Murfreesboro, TN 37129 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 57
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Home Value
$445,317
+0.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
57
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
49 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
34%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,818/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
47%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$130
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 47% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 39% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+7% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (57/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.7% below their final list price; 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 34% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $104k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,751 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $788/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $130 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.2%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Rutherford County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murfreesboro, TN 37128 | $441.2K | −0.7% | 61 |
| Smyrna, TN 37167 | $403.2K | −0.7% | 69 |
| Murfreesboro, TN 37130 | $371.7K | −0.4% | 52 |
| La Vergne, TN 37086 | $342K | −1.7% | 77 |
| Murfreesboro, TN 37127 | $420.8K | −0.6% | 74 |
| Christiana, TN 37037 | $407.7K | −1.5% | 75 |
| Lascassas, TN 37085 | $548.7K | +0.8% | 66 |
| Rockvale, TN 37153 | $475.9K | +0.3% | 58 |
| Eagleville, TN 37060 | $543.8K | +2.1% | 85 |
| Murfreesboro, TN 37132 | – | – | 64 |
| Readyville, TN 37149 | $439.2K | +5.1% | 26 |
| Milton, TN 37118 | $621.6K | +1.9% | 28 |