Counce, TN 38326 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 88
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Home Value
$283,550
+1.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
88
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
125 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
42%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
66%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$125
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 66% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 26% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (88/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.8% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 42% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $69k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,515 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $125 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.7% to +10.6% (80% range; middle estimate +3.6%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Hardin County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Savannah, TN 38372 | $198.3K | +3.6% | 91 |
| Morris Chapel, TN 38361 | $189.2K | +4.0% | 67 |
| Saltillo, TN 38370 | $126.4K | +2.8% | 52 |
| Olivehill, TN 38475 | $170.4K | +5.6% | 87 |
| Crump, TN 38327 | $149.5K | −5.6% | 41 |
| Milledgeville, TN 38359 | $135.1K | −0.3% | 16 |
| Shiloh, TN 38376 | $166K | +1.2% | 12 |
| ZIP 38365 | – | – | 11 |