Waynesboro, TN 38485 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 94
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Home Value
$176,586
+6.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
94
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
96 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
39%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$218
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 39% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 16% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−12% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (94/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.8% below their final list price; 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $44k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $218 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.7% to +10.6% (80% range; middle estimate +3.6%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Wayne County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clifton, TN 38425 | $176.7K | +1.1% | 77 |
| Iron City, TN 38463 | $208.7K | +5.0% | 97 |
| Collinwood, TN 38450 | $154.9K | +4.9% | 56 |
| Cypress Inn, TN 38452 | $243.2K | +10.8% | 93 |
| Lutts, TN 38471 | $209.6K | +6.2% | 74 |