Holly Springs, MS 38635 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 99
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Home Value
$176,357
−2.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
99
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
107 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
11%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$126
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 11% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 42% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−10% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (99/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 7.6% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $47k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,641 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $126 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −10% to +6% over the next 12 months (42% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −10.4% to +5.9% (80% range; middle estimate −1.1%), chance of a rise 42%, of a 5%+ drop 26%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Marshall County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Byhalia, MS 38611 | $278.1K | +1.7% | 79 |
| Red Banks, MS 38661 | $236.4K | +1.5% | 38 |
| Potts Camp, MS 38659 | $167.2K | +4.9% | 79 |
| Waterford, MS 38685 | $192.6K | +1.0% | 39 |