Horn Lake, MS 38637 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 60
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Home Value
$202,219
+0.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
60
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
41 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
38%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,501/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
64%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$142
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 64% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 64% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−9% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (60/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.2% below their final list price; 38% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $53k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,892 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $181/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $142 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.8% to +9.5% (80% range; middle estimate +2.5%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in DeSoto County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olive Branch, MS 38654 | $332.3K | +1.1% | 67 |
| Southaven, MS 38671 | $234.1K | +1.6% | 49 |
| Hernando, MS 38632 | $345K | +2.1% | 61 |
| Southaven, MS 38672 | $331.8K | +0.2% | 46 |
| Nesbit, MS 38651 | $357.3K | +2.3% | 65 |
| Walls, MS 38680 | $259.2K | +1.6% | 43 |
| Walls, MS 38641 | $326.5K | +3.4% | 72 |