Randolph, MS 38864 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 62
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Home Value
$193,039
+12.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
62
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
98 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
91.1%
Apr 2025
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$121
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are up 12.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 50% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (62/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 8.9% below their final list price (as of Apr 2025); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $49k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $121 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (70% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.2% to +10.2% (80% range; middle estimate +3.1%), chance of a rise 70%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Pontotoc County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pontotoc, MS 38863 | $210.5K | +7.7% | 66 |
| Belden, MS 38826 | $267K | +9.6% | 52 |
| Ecru, MS 38841 | $214.7K | +10.2% | 39 |
| Thaxton, MS 38871 | $232.6K | +8.0% | 98 |
| ZIP 38869 | – | – | 32 |