Florence, MS 39044 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 24
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Home Value
$192,402
+3.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
24
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
80 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
20%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-10%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$165
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 10% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 3.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 81% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (24/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.2% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 20% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $49k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,922 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $165 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (70% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.1% to +10.2% (80% range; middle estimate +3.1%), chance of a rise 70%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Simpson County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mendenhall, MS 39114 | $166.2K | +0.2% | 100 |
| Magee, MS 39111 | $171.3K | +1.4% | 55 |
| Pinola, MS 39149 | $150.3K | −2.7% | 91 |
| Harrisville, MS 39082 | $151.8K | −0.6% | 44 |
| ZIP 39062 | – | – | 36 |