Carthage, MS 39051 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 64
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Home Value
$166,591
+6.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
64
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
119 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
14%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-1.0%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$125
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (−1% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 27% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+20% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (64/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.6% below their final list price; 14% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $44k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,644 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $125 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (63% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.5% to +8.8% (80% range; middle estimate +1.8%), chance of a rise 63%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Leake County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carthage, MS 39189 | $165.7K | +8.2% | 66 |
| Lena, MS 39094 | $179.6K | +7.7% | 51 |