Carthage, MS 39189 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 66
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Home Value
$165,717
+8.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
66
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
9.2 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
95 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.9%
Jul 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-8.4%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$126
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 8% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 8.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 5% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 21% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+67% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (66/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.1% below their final list price (as of Jul 2026); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $43k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $126 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (62% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.5% to +8.8% (80% range; middle estimate +1.8%), chance of a rise 62%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Leake County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carthage, MS 39051 | $166.6K | +6.8% | 64 |
| Lena, MS 39094 | $179.6K | +7.7% | 51 |