Ocean Springs, MS 39564 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 75
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Home Value
$269,891
+0.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
75
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
72 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
30%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,647/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
34%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$356
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 34% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 7% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+7% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (75/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.4% below their final list price; 30% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $73k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $3,280 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $185/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $356 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (62% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.5% to +8.8% (80% range; middle estimate +1.8%), chance of a rise 62%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Jackson County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vancleave, MS 39565 | $279.6K | +3.2% | 67 |
| Gautier, MS 39553 | $189.9K | −0.4% | 44 |
| Moss Point, MS 39562 | $206.8K | +2.3% | 42 |
| Moss Point, MS 39563 | $111.5K | −2.9% | 65 |
| Pascagoula, MS 39581 | $140K | −0.9% | 39 |
| Pascagoula, MS 39567 | $148.6K | −0.2% | 57 |
| ZIP 39595 | – | – | – |