Smithdale, MS 39653 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 19
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$146,083
+0.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
19
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
0.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
86 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
22%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
5.7%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$165
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+6% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 11% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 89% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−67% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (19/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.3% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 22% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $39k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $165 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.5% to +10.8% (80% range; middle estimate +3.8%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Smithdale, MS 39653
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Franklin County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roxie, MS 39661 | $132.6K | −5.1% | 47 |
| Bude, MS 39630 | $98.8K | −13.2% | 63 |
| McCall Creek, MS 39647 | $164.5K | +6.1% | 51 |