Chagrin Falls, OH 44023 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 7
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Home Value
$507,527
+4.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
7
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
28 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
30%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
26%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$76
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 26% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 78% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−7% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (7/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.7% of list); 30% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $137k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $76 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −2% to +15% over the next 12 months (87% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −1.6% to +14.8% (80% range; middle estimate +7.7%), chance of a rise 87%, of a 5%+ drop 4%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Geauga County, OH
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chardon, OH 44024 | $381.1K | +5.2% | 21 |
| Middlefield, OH 44062 | $306K | +7.5% | 6 |
| Chesterland, OH 44026 | $388.4K | +4.1% | 3 |
| Burton, OH 44021 | $309.2K | +7.6% | 16 |
| Novelty, OH 44072 | $465.5K | +3.4% | 15 |
| Newbury, OH 44065 | $335.1K | +4.8% | 45 |
| Thompson, OH 44086 | $308.7K | +4.6% | 0 |
| Huntsburg, OH 44046 | $322.4K | +7.1% | 7 |
| Montville, OH 44064 | $321.8K | +5.7% | 7 |
| ZIP 44080 | – | – | 27 |