Painesville, OH 44045 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 2
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Home Value
$226,674
+10.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
2
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
16 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
23%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
17%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$58
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 17% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 10.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 33% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (2/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (101.0% of list); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 23% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $60k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,135 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $58 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (76% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.9% to +11.5% (80% range; middle estimate +4.4%), chance of a rise 76%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lake County, OH
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mentor, OH 44060 | $280.1K | +3.7% | 20 |
| Painesville, OH 44077 | $261.4K | +3.3% | 10 |
| Willoughby, OH 44094 | $294.7K | +3.9% | 25 |
| Eastlake, OH 44095 | $206.1K | +2.2% | 17 |
| Madison, OH 44057 | $237.4K | +3.3% | 15 |
| Wickliffe, OH 44092 | $211.7K | +2.6% | 19 |
| Perry, OH 44081 | $299.3K | +2.4% | 36 |