Covington, OH 45318 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 55
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Home Value
$243,965
+2.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
55
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
74 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
44%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$82
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 44% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 3% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+44% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (55/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.3% below their final list price; 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $63k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $82 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.5% to +9.8% (80% range; middle estimate +2.7%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Miami County, OH
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy, OH 45373 | $284.6K | +2.3% | 35 |
| Piqua, OH 45356 | $184.1K | +3.2% | 40 |
| Tipp City, OH 45371 | $351.1K | +2.1% | 32 |
| West Milton, OH 45383 | $242K | +3.0% | 38 |
| Pleasant Hill, OH 45359 | $249.7K | +4.9% | 62 |
| Laura, OH 45337 | $261.5K | +2.6% | 19 |
| Fletcher, OH 45326 | $257.3K | +5.1% | 5 |
| Casstown, OH 45312 | $365.7K | +4.4% | 31 |
| Ludlow Falls, OH 45339 | $339.2K | +4.4% | 25 |
| ZIP 45361 | – | – | 40 |