Chariton, IA 50049 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 98
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Home Value
$173,783
+1.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
98
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
94 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
14%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
43%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$103
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 43% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 206% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−19% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (98/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 7.9% below their final list price; 14% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $50k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,697 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $103 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (54% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.7% to +7.6% (80% range; middle estimate +0.6%), chance of a rise 54%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lucas County, IA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Russell, IA 50238 | $185.4K | +4.5% | 94 |
| Woodburn, IA 50151 | $269.8K | +4.6% | 76 |
| Woodburn, IA 50068 | $234.6K | +4.2% | 65 |
| Williamson, IA 50272 | – | – | 8 |