Watford City, ND 58854 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 59
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Home Value
$381,550
+6.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
59
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
75 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
15%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,254/mo
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$81
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are up 6.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 26% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+33% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (59/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.6% below their final list price; 15% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $91k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,766 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,011/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $81 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (60% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.8% to +8.5% (80% range; middle estimate +1.4%), chance of a rise 60%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in McKenzie County, ND
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Williston, ND 58831 | $335.4K | +9.8% | 15 |
| Arnegard, ND 58835 | $356.8K | +8.0% | 39 |
| Grassy Butte, ND 58634 | – | – | 1 |
| Cartwright, ND 58838 | – | – | 30 |
| Keene, ND 58847 | – | – | – |