Polson, MT 59860 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 67
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Home Value
$578,944
+1.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
67
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
71 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
16%
Sep 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
66%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,635/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
44%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$194
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 44% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 32% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−14% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (67/100; U.S.: 54): 16% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 66% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $136k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,696 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,767/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $194 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (71% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.9% to +10.4% (80% range; middle estimate +3.4%), chance of a rise 71%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lake County, MT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bigfork, MT 59911 | $814K | +2.7% | 79 |
| Ronan, MT 59864 | $447.8K | +2.1% | 99 |
| Saint Ignatius, MT 59865 | $546.7K | +2.9% | 94 |
| Charlo, MT 59824 | $568.8K | +3.7% | 85 |
| Big Arm, MT 59910 | $900.8K | −0.2% | 32 |
| Elmo, MT 59915 | $806.2K | +1.4% | 87 |
| Ronan, MT 59855 | $279.8K | −0.6% | 18 |
| Big Arm, MT 59914 | $869.8K | −1.0% | 79 |
| Rollins, MT 59931 | $1.2M | −1.0% | 41 |
| Proctor, MT 59929 | $672.3K | +2.2% | 99 |
| Ravalli, MT 59863 | – | – | 71 |