Big Arm, MT 59914 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 79
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Home Value
$869,786
−1.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
79
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
19.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
78 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
87.5%
Feb 2019
Mtg Payment as % of Income
70%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
31%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$207
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 31% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 1.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 46% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+13% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (79/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 12.5% below their final list price (as of Feb 2019); 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 70% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $194k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,696 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $207 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (61% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.7% to +8.6% (80% range; middle estimate +1.6%), chance of a rise 61%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lake County, MT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polson, MT 59860 | $578.9K | +1.4% | 67 |
| Bigfork, MT 59911 | $814K | +2.7% | 79 |
| Ronan, MT 59864 | $447.8K | +2.1% | 99 |
| Saint Ignatius, MT 59865 | $546.7K | +2.9% | 94 |
| Charlo, MT 59824 | $568.8K | +3.7% | 85 |
| Big Arm, MT 59910 | $900.8K | −0.2% | 32 |
| Elmo, MT 59915 | $806.2K | +1.4% | 87 |
| Ronan, MT 59855 | $279.8K | −0.6% | 18 |
| Rollins, MT 59931 | $1.2M | −1.0% | 41 |
| Proctor, MT 59929 | $672.3K | +2.2% | 99 |
| Ravalli, MT 59863 | – | – | 71 |