Arthur, IL 61911 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 15
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Home Value
$200,409
+7.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
15
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
28 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
106.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
21%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
22%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$229
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 22% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 38% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+100% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (15/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (106.5% of list); 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 21% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $57k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $229 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (78% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.5% to +11.8% (80% range; middle estimate +4.8%), chance of a rise 78%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Moultrie County, IL
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sullivan, IL 61951 | $200.5K | +7.9% | 16 |
| Lovington, IL 61937 | $161.3K | +7.9% | 43 |
| Bethany, IL 61914 | $167.3K | +8.9% | 8 |
| Gays, IL 61928 | $199.4K | +6.4% | 78 |