Sullivan, IL 61951 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 16
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Home Value
$200,514
+7.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
16
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
27 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
36%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$181
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 36% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 71% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+9% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (16/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.6% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $60k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $181 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (76% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.9% to +11.5% (80% range; middle estimate +4.4%), chance of a rise 76%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Moultrie County, IL
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur, IL 61911 | $200.4K | +7.9% | 15 |
| Lovington, IL 61937 | $161.3K | +7.9% | 43 |
| Bethany, IL 61914 | $167.3K | +8.9% | 8 |
| Gays, IL 61928 | $199.4K | +6.4% | 78 |