Novinger, MO 63559 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 8
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Home Value
$191,434
+8.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
8
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
0.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
62 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-7.0%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$161
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 7% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 8.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 11% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 25% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (8/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.0% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $48k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,366 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $161 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (75% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.1% to +11.2% (80% range; middle estimate +4.2%), chance of a rise 75%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Adair County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kirksville, MO 63501 | $181.3K | +4.0% | 56 |
| Downing, MO 63546 | $272.9K | +10.4% | 48 |
| Greencastle, MO 63544 | $227K | +8.3% | 87 |
| Brashear, MO 63533 | $241.5K | +8.5% | 61 |
| Gibbs, MO 63540 | – | – | 3 |