Hale, MO 64643 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 65
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Home Value
$281,269
+2.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
65
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
51 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
67%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
37%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
72%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$139
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 72% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 20% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−25% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (65/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.9% below their final list price; 67% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 37% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $70k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $139 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +13% over the next 12 months (81% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.5% to +12.8% (80% range; middle estimate +5.8%), chance of a rise 81%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Carroll County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carrollton, MO 64633 | $160.4K | +6.2% | 33 |
| Norborne, MO 64668 | $204.6K | +6.7% | 58 |
| Bogard, MO 64622 | $290.7K | +5.7% | 31 |
| Bosworth, MO 64623 | $162.6K | +1.2% | 60 |
| Dawn, MO 64682 | $275.2K | +5.5% | 23 |
| De Witt, MO 64639 | – | – | – |