Hamilton, MO 64644 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 46
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$233,954
+3.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
46
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
77 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
89.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
45%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$119
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 45% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 33% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−60% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (46/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 10.3% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $60k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,848 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $119 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (71% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.0% to +10.3% (80% range; middle estimate +3.3%), chance of a rise 71%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Hamilton, MO 64644
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Caldwell County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polo, MO 64671 | $293.2K | +6.3% | 11 |
| Braymer, MO 64624 | $188.2K | +5.9% | 77 |
| Kidder, MO 64649 | $304K | +7.6% | 18 |
| Breckenridge, MO 64625 | $203.3K | +4.6% | 56 |
| Kingston, MO 64650 | $268.2K | +4.8% | 7 |
| Cowgill, MO 64637 | $328.7K | +8.8% | 37 |