Carthage, MO 64836 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 41
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Home Value
$246,383
+2.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
41
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
53 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
40%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$120
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 40% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 3% below the 2017-19 norm, close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (41/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.7% below their final list price; 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $63k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,809 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $120 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.9% to +12.4% (80% range; middle estimate +5.4%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Jasper County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joplin, MO 64801 | $197.3K | +1.3% | 47 |
| Webb City, MO 64870 | $227.2K | +1.9% | 31 |
| Carl Junction, MO 64834 | $260.2K | +1.8% | 26 |
| Sarcoxie, MO 64862 | $270.3K | +4.5% | 84 |
| Oronogo, MO 64855 | $254K | +1.4% | 0 |
| Jasper, MO 64755 | $288.8K | +5.0% | 50 |
| Carterville, MO 64835 | – | – | 78 |
| Duenweg, MO 64841 | – | – | 16 |
| Oronogo, MO 64832 | $287.5K | +5.0% | 9 |
| Reeds, MO 64859 | $292.6K | +0.3% | 41 |
| Alba, MO 64830 | – | – | 0 |
| Purcell, MO 64857 | – | – | 14 |
| Neck City, MO 64849 | – | – | 28 |
| Avilla, MO 64833 | – | – | 5 |