Harrisburg, MO 65256 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 100
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Home Value
$394,365
+3.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
100
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
84 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
40%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.9%
Dec 2025
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
58%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$128
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 58% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 80% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+50% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (100/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.1% below their final list price (as of Dec 2025); 40% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $96k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,768 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $128 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.6% to +10.7% (80% range; middle estimate +3.7%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Boone County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia, MO 65203 | $374.7K | +2.2% | 27 |
| Columbia, MO 65201 | $339.9K | +2.7% | 77 |
| Columbia, MO 65202 | $279.5K | +3.0% | 51 |
| Ashland, MO 65010 | $368K | +2.3% | 26 |
| Hallsville, MO 65255 | $362K | +2.0% | 30 |
| Hartsburg, MO 65039 | $438.4K | +3.1% | 86 |
| Sturgeon, MO 65284 | $355.9K | +5.9% | 77 |
| Rocheport, MO 65279 | $436.5K | −0.9% | 99 |
| ZIP 65215 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 65216 | – | – | – |