Sturgeon, MO 65284 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 77
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Home Value
$355,882
+5.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
77
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
44 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
55%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
88.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
62%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$131
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 62% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 0% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−29% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (77/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 11.5% below their final list price; 55% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $87k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,802 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $131 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +13% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.8% to +12.5% (80% range; middle estimate +5.5%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Boone County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia, MO 65203 | $374.7K | +2.2% | 27 |
| Columbia, MO 65201 | $339.9K | +2.7% | 77 |
| Columbia, MO 65202 | $279.5K | +3.0% | 51 |
| Ashland, MO 65010 | $368K | +2.3% | 26 |
| Hallsville, MO 65255 | $362K | +2.0% | 30 |
| Hartsburg, MO 65039 | $438.4K | +3.1% | 86 |
| Harrisburg, MO 65256 | $394.4K | +3.4% | 100 |
| Rocheport, MO 65279 | $436.5K | −0.9% | 99 |
| ZIP 65215 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 65216 | – | – | – |