Madison, MO 65263 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 12
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Home Value
$243,133
+3.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
12
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
111 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
33%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
29%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$129
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 29% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 65% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+100% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (12/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (101.0% of list); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 33% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $61k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,362 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $129 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.5% to +10.8% (80% range; middle estimate +3.8%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Monroe County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris, MO 65275 | $215.6K | +7.3% | 26 |
| Stoutsville, MO 65283 | – | – | 71 |
| Holliday, MO 65258 | – | – | 96 |
| Hunnewell, MO 63443 | $295.8K | +13.9% | 33 |
| Santa Fe, MO 65282 | – | – | 60 |