Nelson, MO 65347 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 25
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Home Value
$306,944
+7.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
25
Aug 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Jun 2026
Days on Market
72 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Aug 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Jun 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
23%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$142
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are up 7.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 100% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−100% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (25/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.0% of list) (as of Jun 2026); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 23% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $78k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $142 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.8% to +10.5% (80% range; middle estimate +3.5%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Saline County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall, MO 65340 | $189.9K | +5.3% | 55 |
| Slater, MO 65349 | $136.5K | +5.2% | 57 |
| Sweet Springs, MO 65351 | $180.9K | +13.6% | 98 |
| Waverly, MO 65339 | – | – | 59 |
| Gilliam, MO 65330 | – | – | 36 |
| Blackburn, MO 65321 | – | – | 67 |
| ZIP 65327 | – | – | 18 |
| Miami, MO 65344 | – | – | 71 |
| Arrow Rock, MO 65320 | – | – | 58 |