Falcon, MO 65470 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 35
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Home Value
$302,471
−0.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
35
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Apr 2026
Days on Market
174 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.3%
Apr 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
37%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
34%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$167
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 34% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 0.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 59% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−40% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (35/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.7% below their final list price (as of Apr 2026); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 37% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $72k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $167 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.6% to +9.7% (80% range; middle estimate +2.7%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Laclede County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lebanon, MO 65536 | $237.2K | +5.5% | 36 |
| Conway, MO 65632 | $267K | +6.8% | 28 |
| Phillipsburg, MO 65722 | $252.6K | +3.6% | 47 |
| Eldridge, MO 65463 | – | – | 67 |