Lenexa, KS 66219 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 45
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Home Value
$466,317
+4.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
45
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
116 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
14%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
102.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
39%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,718/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
48%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$65
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 48% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 97% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+10% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (45/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (102.4% of list); 14% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 39% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $123k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,516 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,355/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $65 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (78% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.4% to +11.9% (80% range; middle estimate +4.9%), chance of a rise 78%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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