Lenexa, KS 66227 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 28
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$563,674
+3.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
28
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
162 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
7.8%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
22%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$88
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 22% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 24% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−28% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (28/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.5% of list); 8% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $147k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,523 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $88 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (74% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.3% to +11.0% (80% range; middle estimate +3.9%), chance of a rise 74%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Lenexa, KS 66227
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.