Pearcy, AR 71964 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 70
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Home Value
$264,815
+2.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
70
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
82 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
65%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$161
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 65% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 37% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−36% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (70/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.5% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $66k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $161 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (71% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.9% to +10.4% (80% range; middle estimate +3.4%), chance of a rise 71%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Garland County, AR
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot Springs, AR 71913 | $263.5K | −0.4% | 92 |
| Hot Springs, AR 71901 | $212.4K | +0.5% | 86 |
| Hot Springs Village, AR 71909 | $308.1K | +2.3% | 66 |
| Royal, AR 71968 | $291K | +3.2% | 77 |
| Mountain Pine, AR 71956 | $126K | −2.0% | 9 |
| Jessieville, AR 71949 | $165.9K | +1.5% | 73 |
| Bonnerdale, AR 71933 | $253.9K | −0.1% | 38 |