Royal, AR 71968 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 77
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Home Value
$291,031
+3.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
77
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
96 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
18%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
49%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$234
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 49% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 18% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+8% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (77/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.3% below their final list price; 18% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $70k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $234 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.5% to +9.8% (80% range; middle estimate +2.7%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Garland County, AR
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot Springs, AR 71913 | $263.5K | −0.4% | 92 |
| Hot Springs, AR 71901 | $212.4K | +0.5% | 86 |
| Hot Springs Village, AR 71909 | $308.1K | +2.3% | 66 |
| Pearcy, AR 71964 | $264.8K | +2.3% | 70 |
| Mountain Pine, AR 71956 | $126K | −2.0% | 9 |
| Jessieville, AR 71949 | $165.9K | +1.5% | 73 |
| Bonnerdale, AR 71933 | $253.9K | −0.1% | 38 |