Oklahoma City, OK 73102 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 57
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Home Value
$302,397
−5.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
57
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
58 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
40%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,438/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
13%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$202
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 13% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 5.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 13% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 59% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−27% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (57/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.7% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 40% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $80k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,617 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $556/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $202 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (52% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.0% to +7.3% (80% range; middle estimate +0.2%), chance of a rise 52%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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