Oklahoma City, OK 73139 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 38
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Home Value
$191,379
+2.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
38
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
54 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
33%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$919/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
46%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$143
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 46% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 3% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−26% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (38/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.2% below their final list price; 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 33% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $54k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,663 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $439/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $143 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (74% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.3% to +11.0% (80% range; middle estimate +4.0%), chance of a rise 74%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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