Atoka, OK 74525 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 96
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Home Value
$200,031
+4.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
96
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
10.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
56 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
29%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
46%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$236
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 46% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 57% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+68% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (96/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.9% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 29% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $52k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,144 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $236 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from tornadoes, hail and wind. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.6% to +10.7% (80% range; middle estimate +3.6%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Atoka County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caney, OK 74533 | $260.6K | +6.1% | 81 |
| Lane, OK 74555 | $251.8K | +5.9% | 65 |
| Stringtown, OK 74569 | $239.7K | +4.9% | 75 |
| Wardville, OK 74576 | – | – | 23 |
| Daisy, OK 74540 | – | – | 89 |