Castle, OK 74833 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 50
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Home Value
$192,364
+15.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
50
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Mar 2026
Days on Market
61 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
100%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
May 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
50%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$212
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 50% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 15.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 63% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (50/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.0% of list) (as of May 2026); 100% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $49k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,018 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $212 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155).
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +13% over the next 12 months (82% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.4% to +12.9% (80% range; middle estimate +5.9%), chance of a rise 82%, of a 5%+ drop 6%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Okfuskee County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Okemah, OK 74859 | $141.3K | +7.2% | 79 |
| Henryetta, OK 74880 | $113.5K | +11.9% | 46 |
| Boley, OK 74829 | $142.6K | +13.4% | 16 |
| Paden, OK 74860 | $203.4K | +13.3% | 49 |