Paden, OK 74860 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 49
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Home Value
$203,371
+13.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
49
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
69 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
56%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$175
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 56% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 13.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 50% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−14% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (49/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.4% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $52k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,018 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $175 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +13% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.7% to +12.6% (80% range; middle estimate +5.5%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Okfuskee County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Okemah, OK 74859 | $141.3K | +7.2% | 79 |
| Henryetta, OK 74880 | $113.5K | +11.9% | 46 |
| Boley, OK 74829 | $142.6K | +13.4% | 16 |
| Castle, OK 74833 | $192.4K | +15.6% | 50 |