Earlsboro, OK 74840 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 67
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Home Value
$214,751
+6.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
67
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
66 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
15%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
114%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$200
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 114% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 136% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+83% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (67/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.1% of list); 15% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $56k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,166 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $200 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (79% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.0% to +12.3% (80% range; middle estimate +5.3%), chance of a rise 79%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Seminole County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seminole, OK 74868 | $138.7K | +7.9% | 66 |
| Wewoka, OK 74884 | $84.9K | +12.6% | 76 |
| Konawa, OK 74849 | $125.2K | +12.3% | 6 |
| Sasakwa, OK 74867 | $203.8K | +9.0% | 34 |
| ZIP 74837 | – | – | 72 |
| Bowlegs, OK 74830 | – | – | 32 |